A statecraft reflection on protest, legitimacy, institutional integrity, Indocracy and national resilience
A widening cycle of street protest is exposing a deeper crisis of governance in democracies. The immediate triggers differ: inflation, unemployment, corruption, inequality, contested elections, identity, real or perceived injustice, restrictions on freedom, insensitive policing, institutional arrogance, judicial distrust and accumulated anger. The scale, composition and legitimacy of individual movements also differ. It would therefore be intellectually reckless either to romanticise all protest or to denounce it indiscriminately.
Recent protest waves across Europe, South Asia, Southeast Asia and Latin America underline the breadth of the phenomenon. The Carnegie Endowment Global Protest Tracker had cited in Sept 2026 anti-government protests across 57 countries. India has the highest and yet we must compliment our much maligned police, who work in difficult ecosystem, of managing the situation far better than the most. Episodes in France and elsewhere have also demonstrated how quickly demonstrations can spill into attacks on public spaces, heritage buildings and commercial property. Yet visible disorder is often the final manifestation of problems that began much earlier inside institutions.
Democratic resilience ultimately depends upon institutions capable of correcting political and governmental failure: credible elections; impartial courts; professional policing; an efficient civil service; deliberative legislatures; democratic political parties; independent media; and a public sphere capable of reasoned disagreement. Citizens tolerate imperfection because they retain some confidence in the capacity of these institutions to correct themselves. When that confidence collapses, grievance migrates from institutions to the street.
When grievance migrates from institutions to the street, the street can become not merely a site of protest but a psychological battlespace.
Once this threshold is crossed, there is no guarantee that the result will be orderly, progressive or even controllable. Some protest movements can correct abuses. Others can be captured by opportunists, extremists, criminal actors or foreign interests. Some can permanently scar a state or society. Hence every serious discourse on mass protest must be driven by sagacity rather than romanticism, fear or partisan convenience.
From Institutional Failure to the Psychological Battlespace
I have repeatedly argued that the strength of a state cannot be measured merely by the size of its economy, sophistication of its weapon systems or wealth of sections of its elite. It must also be assessed by the confidence ordinary citizens repose in the integrity, capacity and fairness of their institutions. My argument has never been that democratic elections are unimportant. It is that electoral popularity without competence, personal integrity, merit, resilience and commitment to the public good is an inadequate foundation for serious statecraft.
Post-independence India, given its deep civilisational roots and humanist orientation, was expected by many to evolve a model of governance that could combine democratic legitimacy with a higher ethic of public responsibility. A powerful India rooted in humane values could contribute not only to its own prosperity but also to greater stability in the international order. India has indeed amazed the world by sustaining democracy amid extreme diversity and adversity, and Indians abroad have excelled in business, science, academia and public life. Yet internally, substantial deficits in human development, institutional capacity and trust remain. A change of political regime by itself has not resolved these contradictions.
When substantial sections of citizens hit the streets rather than seek institutional redress, it is a warning that institutions have forfeited at least some measure of trust. But it is not always only about bad governance. Powerful vested interests can stoke communal, ethnic and identity sentiments; elites can exploit anger; and covert actors can seek to convert grievance into regime destabilisation. Equally, it is too easy for governments to explain away all public discontent as the handiwork of opaque deep states. Without governance failures, poor strategy or arrogant and brutal responses, external or internal manipulators would have much less combustible material to exploit.
To dismiss genuine public grievance as a manufactured foreign conspiracy is bad statecraft. To assume that genuine grievance cannot be internally or externally weaponised is equally bad statecraft.
Why the Street Can Become a Battlespace
Contemporary strategic contests penetrate societies through information, perception, technology, finance, institutions, social networks and psychological vulnerabilities. A smartphone can influence political behaviour faster than many traditional instruments of state power. An incident becomes an image. The image acquires a narrative. The narrative generates outrage. Outrage creates digital solidarity. Digital solidarity moves onto the street. Mishandling by authorities produces new images, which can appear to validate the original narrative and multiply anger.
This is not conventional warfare. Nor should every protest be labelled warfare. But when organised actors deliberately amplify divisions, manipulate grievances, provoke disproportionate responses, attack confidence in institutions or psychologically exhaust society, the boundary separating political agitation from irregular psychological warfare becomes dangerously blurred. The contest is then no longer merely over a policy or even an election. It can become a struggle over legitimacy, perception, cohesion and ultimately the levers of state power.
History repeatedly demonstrates that regimes do not collapse only because they are militarily weak. They can collapse because they cease to command belief. The transformations across Eastern Europe in 1989 revealed the brittleness of systems that retained coercive machinery while political legitimacy had eroded. Later upheavals elsewhere demonstrated the other side of the proposition: removing a government and constructing better governance are entirely different achievements.
Street power can change rulers. It cannot automatically create competent institutions. Changing rulers without improving institutions merely changes the beneficiaries of dysfunction.
Performance of Indian Democracy on Key Institutional Parameters
The people of India have displayed extraordinary patience and consideration. Younger citizens may sometimes lack historical perspective, but their frustration cannot simply be dismissed. If Indian democracy is evaluated through the condition of its corrective institutions, the causes of contemporary anxiety become easier to identify.
Elections and Transfer of Power
Indian elections have long been accompanied by money and muscle power, opaque political funding, criminalisation, misinformation, identity arithmetic and recurring allegations of institutional manipulation. Electoral competition remains indispensable, but peaceful transfer of power has not automatically produced a corresponding improvement in the quality of governance. Dynastic cliques coexist with newer concentrations of political power, while serious reform of political finance remains elusive. Elections too often determine who controls the system without transforming the system itself.
Judiciary and Rule of Law
My criticism of the Indian judiciary has been particularly severe because justice constitutes the final peaceful refuge of a citizen against arbitrary power. Delays, massive backlogs, cost, unequal access, prolonged undertrial detention, capacity constraints, and concern over independence and accountability undermine confidence in timely and impartial justice. There are exceptional judges, but isolated excellence cannot substitute for institutional credibility.
In my writings, including “Hollow Courts: Silent Killers of National Vigour?”, “Cash Bags On Doorsteps of Judiciary: A Symptom of the Highest Stage of Societal Cancer”, and “When Grace Is Not Enough: Why Must Judiciary Search Its Soul”, I have linked weakening judicial credibility to wider societal and national-security vulnerability. I have argued that corruption can act as a societal cancer; that a fair and dynamic judiciary shapes the psyche of society by reinforcing confidence in justice; and that popular distrust towards the judiciary, including perceptions of deference to money and political power, must be addressed rather than dismissed. The judiciary must work consciously to recover public respect and perform its nation-building function.
When confidence in justice declines, confidence in peaceful constitutional redress declines with it.
Police and Citizen Security
India has genuinely brave, courageous and upright police officers. Yet citizens commonly encounter an institution burdened by political pressure, corruption, inadequate training, weak investigation, custodial abuse, understaffing and poor accountability. In my own assessment, the deeper problem is institutional rather than simply individual. Honest officers can be hounded or marginalised, while pliability can become professionally safer. A police organisation whose incentives punish integrity cannot provide the psychological security that a democracy requires.
Civil Service and Governance
The civil service continues to contain talented individuals, but the larger architecture remains excessively colonial, procedural and entitlement-driven. Information reproduction has too often been confused with professional competence, while seniority, political loyalty and safe conformity can outweigh specialised contribution. Politicisation, frequent transfers, risk aversion, inadequate expertise and weak outcome accountability damage administrative impartiality and efficiency. Upright civil servants can face harassment rather than institutional protection. Independent India cannot indefinitely rely upon a governance architecture originally designed for imperial control and expect transformational outcomes.
Legislatures and Lawmaking
A genuinely bipartisan legislative culture remains weak. Partisanship, disruptions, rigid party discipline, inadequate scrutiny and executive dominance diminish legislatures as forums for considered lawmaking. When legislatures cease to deliberate seriously, political conflict migrates elsewhere, including television studios, social media and ultimately the street.
Political Parties
Internal democracy in political parties is feeble. Centralised leadership, opaque financing, dynastic entitlement, constrained dissent and non-transparent candidate selection weaken parties as aggregators of public interests. My criticism applies across partisan lines. The principal opposition cannot strengthen democracy merely by demanding regime change while failing to offer credible remedies for the corruption, caste mobilisation and institutional weaknesses associated with its own periods in office. Conversely, the present ruling dispensation cannot claim institutional virtue while political finance remains opaque, institutions are accused of politicisation and crony capitalism remains a serious public concern. Democracy cannot be repaired by substituting one personality cult, clique or oligarchy for another.
Media and Public Debate
Indian mainstream media, in my assessment, is experiencing an acute credibility crisis. Political and commercial pressures, sensationalism, misinformation and digital echo chambers have weakened its role as an independent mirror of society. Public debate has simultaneously deteriorated into toxic partisan squabbling, often centred on historical accusation and competing claims of patriotism rather than alternative visions of governance. Caste, identity, trolling and ideological echo chambers increasingly make reasoned disagreement difficult. A democracy cannot remain healthy when its public sphere rewards emotional fury more than reasoned intellect.
Governance and National Security Are No Longer Separate
My writings on corruption, judiciary, governance and irregular warfare increasingly lead towards one conclusion: institutional integrity is the strategic armour of national security. A hostile power need not manufacture every vulnerability inside an adversary. Corruption, injustice, unemployment, cronyism, ethnic or sectarian fault lines, institutional arrogance and political polarisation can provide ready-made vulnerabilities.
The strategic target need not be territory. It can be public trust. Destroy the trust and every official explanation becomes suspect, every rumour plausible, every mistake a conspiracy and every institutional failure further evidence of deliberate oppression. This is why corruption is not merely an ethical or administrative problem. In an era of globalisation and covert contestation, it can become a grave national-security vulnerability.
A corrupt official, judge, senior politician or journalist damages the country far beyond whatever financial gain may be involved. The deeper loss is credibility. A compromised police force or judiciary can do something worse still: destroy the citizen’s confidence in peaceful redress. My criticism of the Government of the day arises from this concern. Despite invocation of Raj Dharma, I believe governance has too often been allowed to become an instrument of private enrichment and selective empowerment rather than national transformation. When lawful avenues of redress lose credibility, the street acquires a legitimacy of its own and the psychological battlespace expands.
Bangladesh and Sri Lanka: Warnings Rather Than Templates
The experiences of Bangladesh and Sri Lanka deserve attention in this framework. I had publicly warned, before their later political upheavals, about the vulnerability of both systems. In a 2023 interview with Blitz in Dhaka, I stated that Sheikh Hasina faced the prospect of being toppled. Similarly, in an interview with APN Hindi news channel, I predicted that the Rajapaksa family would have to go. I cite these predictions not as retrospective proof of the precise causes of subsequent events, but because the analysis behind them was rooted in a broader proposition: political systems can appear coercively secure while becoming progressively brittle through accumulated grievance, arrogance, economic distress, declining institutional legitimacy and alienation.
Bangladesh, in my assessment, also illustrates why simplistic explanations are dangerous. Sheikh Hasina committed serious political errors and became increasingly arrogant. Yet I have argued that the subsequent regime change, efforts to discredit the liberation legacy, and desecration of the statue of the country’s founding leader pointed to forces extending beyond ordinary democratic protest. I have interpreted the episode as involving radicalised elements and opaque anti-India interests. These are my assessments and should be tested against evidence, but the strategic principle remains valid irrespective of the final attribution: genuine domestic grievance and organised manipulation can coexist.
Likewise, Sri Lanka demonstrated how accumulated governance and economic failures can rapidly erode the authority of an entrenched political family. But Ranil Wickremsinghe, despite not being an elected Head of the Govt brought Sri Lanka back on track.
Regime change, however, does not by itself guarantee reconstruction. Both cases reinforce a larger warning: rulers often recognise the visible uprising much later than the invisible erosion of legitimacy that made the uprising possible.
A Regime Can Tame a Crowd and Yet the Nation Can Lose
A government that suppresses public anger without addressing its causes may purchase temporary stability while accumulating deeper instability. An opposition that exploits legitimate grievances merely to capture power performs no great service either. This is where conventional discourse on democracy becomes inadequate.
I therefore disagree profoundly with the approach of India’s Leader of Opposition. In my assessment, his language towards the Prime Minister has too often lacked the civility and dignity expected in a democracy. More importantly, regime change cannot become an end in itself. Any opposition aspiring to govern must address corruption, misrule, institutional subversion, casteism, opaque finance and the structural weaknesses of political parties rather than assuming personal or dynastic entitlement to office. Equally, the ruling party cannot invoke the failings of its opponents to excuse its own institutional shortcomings. India requires transformation of the ecosystem, not merely rotation of political beneficiaries.
The Limits of Coercive Power
Every viable state requires credible police, intelligence and security capabilities. But state capacity must never be confused with coercive capacity. A state commands enduring credibility more through trust than fear. Political leadership must understand this distinction and use coercive instruments with restraint, especially when advised by officials whose loyalty may shift effortlessly with changes of political dispensation.
Police can disperse crowds, but they cannot manufacture legitimacy. Intelligence services can expose manipulation, but they cannot cure alienation. Courts can punish illegality, but only if citizens retain faith in their impartiality. Governments can influence information ecosystems, but no government can permanently compel a population to trust what it no longer believes.
The strongest state is one that uses the least coercion because its institutions command the greatest voluntary compliance.
My suggestion to the Government of India is therefore direct: avoid excessive reliance upon coercion. Excessive coercion can expose panic and weakness. I believe the present government, which came to power with a powerful promise to transform India, has become trapped by compromised networks and advisers and has failed to adhere sufficiently to the traditions of Raj Dharma and strategic statecraft that our civilisational texts demand.
A New Anatomy of Destabilisation
The contemporary pathway towards political instability can be understood as a chain: governance failure -> grievance -> institutional distrust -> psychological alienation -> digital amplification -> street mobilisation -> political exploitation -> possible external manipulation -> state overreaction -> deeper delegitimisation -> systemic instability.
Not every society traverses the entire chain, and the presence of one stage does not establish the next. External manipulation in particular must not be presumed merely because a protest exists. Yet the sequence illustrates how the political street can intersect with the dynamics of irregular warfare. The decisive terrain is increasingly psychological: confidence, perception, legitimacy and social cohesion.
India Must Avoid Both Denial and Romanticism
In my recent essay “Current Protests: An Opportunity for India to Explore a New Paradigm of Statecraft”, I described contemporary unease, institutional distrust and recourse to street mobilisation as reflections of deeper governance contradictions. I also acknowledged possibilities of opportunistic and external exploitation without allowing them to become excuses for ignoring genuine alienation and governance failure.
India must therefore neither romanticise street agitation nor demonise it. Young people can possess genuine grievances while remaining vulnerable to manipulation. Government cannot respond to every criticism by discovering a foreign conspiracy. Opposition acquires no monopoly over righteousness or patriotism merely because it opposes government. Police cannot indefinitely compensate for deficits of governance. Nor can protesters acquire immunity from law by claiming moral superiority.
The real danger arises when everybody begins to see everybody else as the enemy of the nation. Government sees conspiracy. Opposition sees opportunity. Activists see repression. Security agencies see destabilisation. Citizens see injustice. Digital ecosystems reward fury. Somewhere amid this noise, the long-term interest of the nation can disappear from the moral and intellectual radar.
That is not merely political failure. It is failure of statecraft.
I write from my perspective to put forward precisely such an alternative perspective, notwithstanding the likelihood that powerful bureaucratic and policing establishments aligned with whichever dispensation is in office may reject it. I persist with a bipartisan critique because I consider integrity and patriotism inseparable from serious statecraft, even when such independence carries a personal cost.
Integrity in Statecraft Alone Can Defeat Irregular War
All is not lost. Governments can learn; conscience keepers can awaken; institutions can recover; and citizens can place nation above partisan or personal gain. Every protest does not lead to regime change, and every regime change does not lead to progress and stability.
No external role in a particular mobilisation should be asserted without evidence. At the same time, a country whose rule of law is genuine, whose institutions command trust and whose grievances receive fair redress is far harder for any foreign or covert actor to manipulate. A state cannot defeat conspiracy by counter-conspiracy, nor defend legality through illegality. Attempts to do so merely reproduce the vulnerability they claim to combat.
The best strategy to defeat irregular warfare by opaque global forces and their covert proxies is integrity of institutions.
Good governance is the bedrock of national security. Justice counters and prevents subversion. Institutional integrity is strategic deterrence. Public trust is national power.
The ruling dispensation should therefore pursue a strategic solution to corruption rather than permit opacity in political funding or institutional arrangements to deepen public suspicion. A civilisation cannot secure itself through institutions that its own citizens cease to trust.
Indocracy: From Electoral Democracy to Sagely and Scientific Statecraft
This is why I have been emphasising the need for Indocratic statecraft: governance driven by sagely integrity as reflected in India’s civilisational traditions, yet informed by sound evidence, scientific reasoning and the strongest institutional principles developed by modern constitutional democracy. Indocracy is not a rejection of democracy. It is an attempt to address what periodic elections alone cannot resolve.
Democracy asks who should rule and provides mechanisms for peaceful replacement. Indocracy additionally emphasises how power should be exercised, for what purpose, through what quality of institutions, and by leaders of what character. It seeks selection and election of people who are not merely popular, privileged by birth or successful at identity mobilisation, but meritorious, ethical, resilient and committed to comprehensive public and national good.
The ideal is neither an imported institutional shell nor nostalgic civilisational rhetoric. It is a fusion of ethical statecraft with evidence-based modern governance. Raj Dharma supplies the moral responsibility of power; science supplies disciplined inquiry; constitutional democracy supplies rights and peaceful accountability; and institutional integrity supplies continuity beyond personalities.
Democracy cannot be reduced into simply choosing rulers and letting them enjoy it as their private entitlement. Responsible governance is their sacred responsibility.
Statecraft is continuous deployment of intellect, integrity and courage towards sustained optimisation of strengths of society and state with people at the centre.
Indocracy therefore links governance with the quality of human existence. As institutional integrity improves, trust can deepen; as trust deepens, societal harmony can improve; and as the quality of harmony improves, human existence can become more elevated. This does not demand uniformity. It demands the capacity to hold disagreement within a sustainable threshold of justice, dignity and shared belonging for all citizens.
Conclusion: The Imperative of a Wiser State
The present global turmoil should neither frighten governments into repression nor seduce protesters into believing that destruction itself constitutes transformation. Deft policing may be necessary in moments of disorder, but it is only a precondition for institutional learning, never the end of the problem. Every genuine protest reflects some reality of the society from which it emerges, even when the interpretation placed upon that reality is contested or manipulated.
Wise statecraft listens before it orders. Understands before it suppresses. Corrects before coercion.
The ultimate defence against irregular warfare does not lie in bigger police forces or more intrusive surveillance. It lies in building a society that is extraordinarily difficult to subvert because its people believe that its institutions are fundamentally fair. Governance failure manufactures vulnerabilities. Justice removes them.
The answer to the revolt of the street is therefore neither a stronger fist nor a louder street. It is a wiser state. And perhaps that is the fundamental challenge of Indocracy: to advance beyond democracy as a periodic mechanism for choosing rulers towards statecraft as a continuous endeavour to enhance institutional integrity, societal harmony and the quality of human existence.
That is not idealism. In an age of irregular warfare, it may increasingly become an imperative of national survival.